In the US, at Least 6 Million Robots Have Already Replaced Human-Beings
WASHINGTON – August 28, 2018
Almost half of the most significant businessmen in the US are unable appease their employees with good news: they believe that robotics and artificial intelligence will gradually displace flesh and blood workers.
Bill Gross is a world-famous expert on debt markets, a Top Manager of the American investment company Janus Capital Group, worth about $178 billion.
On May 4, 2016, he published an analytical prediction of the future of the economy, which states: "Technology and robotics are changing the world for the better, but these trends don't create many high-quality jobs. Our new economy era is gradually flinging more and more people out of the labor market."
The American consulting concern study in the field of personnel management, Korn Ferry, interviewed about 800 CEOs of the largest global companies on how they assess the importance of their personnel in the field of labor of the future.
The result was an amazing confirmation of their view of the consequences of universal digitalization. For a long time, the mantra was that those new technologies will create more jobs than they eliminate. If anyone doubted it, they were immediately called a coward who's afraid of change.
According to their forecast, 47% of jobs in the US will be robotic. A large Bank ING-DiBa moved the research methodology to the European labor market and got the result, according to which 59% of jobs are at risk.
The digital revolution devours those who created it. Driverless taxi, robots-carpenters, robot-packers robot-gardeners and even robots-chefs will displace many people.
Seth Stephens-Davidowitz, a former Google researcher, predicted in an interview with USA Really that a large percent of the workforce would be already replaced by robots in the next ten years.
"Also like, a lot of American and Russian workforces, I’m sure, are truck drivers and UBER drivers and taxi drivers, so... it's not a problem, because it'd give human beings more leisure, I think we'd have robots doing all our work," he noted.
We have already written about San Francisco restaurants where a burger-cooking robot “works.” Burgers made by robot juicy Burger cost about $6 -- this is a very good price for this prohibitively expensive city.
Such machines have already been in operation for some time -- as an example, the "Let's Pizza" machine, which makes fresh pizza from flour, dough, and other fresh ingredients, has been sold since the beginning of 2010:
The Burger-bot story from San Francisco is interesting because it sits at the intersection of two converging lines -- the rise in the cost of labor and cheaper robots.
As we know from history, such devices have existed for a few centuries, they have simply always turned out to be too expensive to serve any purpose other than entertainment for royalty. Pierre Jacquet-DRO, for example, before the birth of Napoleon created dolls that were able to write, draw or play musical instruments. The cost these dolls, as you might imagine, was off the charts.
There was nothing technically impossible standing in the way of organizing the unmanned movement of all public transport 50 or 100 years ago -- in the form of, say, self-moving roads or trams controlled by automatic semaphores. Nevertheless, such ideas are not implemented anywhere: they are too highly complex to pay off even with the most successful scenario.
Now humanity has come to the cross-roads of mass automation. The decreasing cost of an hour of work of the robot now is on a par with the growing cost of human work. Mass automation and robotization have become not just possible, but commercially profitable.
Unfortunately, some processes are almost impossible to stop. We are pumping oil out of the ground, and there is less and less to be pumped. We remain at about the same level of intellectual development, whereas robots are quickly becoming smarter. These two simple observations give reason to believe that oil will rise in price, and the number of jobs for people with low and medium qualifications will be reduced.
People will have to accept this at first and continue to live in a new reality. It will be easy to adapt to it, Stephens-Davidowitz said, but it will take some time.