Mid-Term Elections: You Decide What Happens
USA — October 18, 2018
With the 2018 midterm elections just weeks away, many think this is the most important election of recent times. Much is riding on the Republicans maintaining control of Congress. If the Democrats win the House, all current investigations into the Deep State will cease, replaced by every single Congressional committee opening an investigation into Trump and his administration.
Americans will vote for members of both chambers of Congress, as well as for governors in 36 out of 50 states.
This round-up offers some updates and analysis.
One of the most important questions this year is whether the trend of low turnout in mid-term elections will be bucked. We will know only after November 6, but there is a sense that things certainly are different this year.
That’s because early voting or mail-only voting has already started in 20 states — and there are some pretty striking numbers coming in.
The office of Georgia’s Secretary of State says 69,049 people turned up to vote on Monday, the first day they could do so in person. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported that some people in Cobb County had to wait for two hours to vote — more than three weeks before the election is held.
Compare that number with the first day of early voting in the last mid-terms in 2014 — only 20,898 people voted then.
The total of people who had voted early in Georgia (by mail or in person) is up 170% from 2014!
There are some other factors at play in Georgia — there’s a particularly close race for governor between Stacey Abrams (who could become the first black female governor) and Brian Kemp. Ms. Abrams' camp has accused Mr. Kemp and his office of attempted voter suppression, and the tight race looks like it will only become more bitter.
Certainly Georgia is the most striking example of the new trend, but in neighboring Tennessee the picture is more or less the same. The Tennessean newspaper reports that in Davidson County (where the state capitol of Nashville is located), 10,249 people turned up on the first day of early voting on Wednesday.
That’s just 2,000 people fewer than turned out on the first day of early voting in the 2016 presidential election. Generally, presidential elections tend to get a significantly higher turnout than mid-terms.
Many studies confirm that healthcare is the number-one issue on people's minds as the mid-terms get closer.
One of the biggest disappointments for Republicans so far during President Trump’s term in office is their failure to repeal Obamacare.
If they were to lose either of the chambers of Congress on November 6, they can kiss any new attempts to repeal it goodbye, as Democrats will almost certainly kick it into the long grass.
Obamacare would remain in full force. Its shortcomings would be blamed on fat-cat business owners, not the failed legislation and regulations. Congressional Republicans would eventually give in, under the onslaught of an energized national media, and threats from the deep state to key members of Congress to vote a certain way lest unflattering information be released to the Washington Post.
Now, Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell has spelled it out, saying repeal would be back on the agenda in 2019 if Republicans held Congress.
In an interview with Reuters, McConnell blamed the healthcare program, which gives 20 million Americans healthcare coverage, for the national debt.
This week, it was announced the national debt had risen 17% in one year to $779 billion — a six-year high.
“If Republicans retain the Senate they will do everything they can to take away families’ health care and raise their costs,” Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer said in response. “Americans should take Senator McConnell at his word.”
November 6 is right around the corner. The key races for members of both chambers of Congress still lie ahead.